Before we present our estimated results for the second matches in group F, we give a quick evaluation of our forecast for the first match day in this group. The result of the first match was a 3-0 victory of Belgium over Panama, which was expected by our model with a probability of almost 7%. The second match between Tunisia and England ended 1-2 and was the fourth most probable score according to our model.
In the first match the “Red Devils” are clear favourite against “Les aigles de Carthage” (“The eagles of Carthago”):
Considering the estimated scores we favour a 1-0 or 2-0 victory of Belgium. The row/column “5+” stands for five goals or more.
In the second match in group G our model favours England, although Panama has still some reasonable chances to win at least one point.
The predicted scores are as follows:
Our model favours a 1-0 or 2-0 victory of England, followed by a 0-0 draw.