Before we present our estimated results for the second matches in group F, we give a quick evaluation of our forecast for the first match day in this group. The result of the first match was a 0-1 victory of Mexico, which was surely a surprise for most spectators. Our model didn’t favour this result, but still expected this score with a probability of 4,1%. The second match between Sweden and South Korea was predicted correctly by our model!
In the first match the “Nationalmannschaft” is clear favourite against the “Tre Kronor” team of Sweden. The big question will be whether Germany will find back to their old strength.
Considering the estimated scores we favour a 2-0 victory of Germany, followed by a 1-0 victory and a 1-1 draw:
The situation in the second match in group F is also quite clear. Mexico should win their match against South Korea, although South Korea has some minor chances to get out of the match with at least one point:
The predicted scores are as follows, where “5+” stands for five goals or more:
Our model favours a 1-0 or 2-0 victory of Mexico, followed by a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 victory of Mexico.