Before we present our estimated results for the second matches in group B, we give a quick evaluation of our forecast for the first match day in this group. The result of the first match was a 3-3 draw between the European champions from Portugal against Spain. A draw was predicted with a probability of 33%, although Spain was favoured by our model. The 1-0 victory of Iran against Morocco was one of our expected scores.
In the first match Portugal is favoured against Morocco, although Morocco might have some chance to win a point:
The estimated scores are as follows: we favour a 1-0 victory of Portugal followed by a 2-0 victory, but a 0-0 or a 1-1 draw are already the next most probable results.
The situation in the second match in group B is quite clear: “La Seleccion” from Spain should have no problems to win against Iran, although a draw would not be completely unexpected:
The predicted scores are as follows:
Our model favours a 1-0 victory of Spain followed by a 2-0 and a 0-0 draw.