Prediction for Match Day 1 in Group G

In this post we present our estimated results for the first matches in group G. This group starts with the matches Belgium vs. Panama and Tunisia vs. England. Both matches seem to have two clear favourites but we will quantify the gap between the opponents.

In the first match the “Red Devils”  are clear favourite against “Los Canaleros”:


Considering the estimated scores we favour a 1-0 or 2-0 victory of Belgium:


In the second match in group G our model favours England. The “Three Lions” have good chances to win their first match, although “Les Aigles de Carthage” (“The eagles of Carthago”) might have some chances to gain a point:


The predicted scores are as follows:


Our model favours a 1-0 victory of England, followed by a 0-0 and a 2-0 victory of England. Hence, if the defence of Tunisia is in a good shape on the match day, a 0-0 would not be a surprise.