Prediction for Match Day 1 in Group C

In this post we present our estimated results for the first matches in group C. This group will start with the match between the Vice-European champion France and Australia. In the second match Peru will face Denmark, where both teams are already under pressure to win. We give predictions for the result of both matches in terms of probabilities, including predictions for the scores.

In the first match “Les Bleus” from France are clear favourite against the “Socceroos” from Down Under. It would be rather a surprise if Australia could steal one point from this match:


The estimated scores are as follows: we favour a 2-0 victory of France, but also a higher score won’t be unexpected:


The situation in the second match in group C is quite interesting, where we favour the “The Incas” from Peru, although “Danish Dynamite” has still reasonable chances:


The predicted scores are as follows:


Our model favours the following result: 1-1, 1-0 or 2-0 with advantages for Peru.