This post is dedicated to Nina, she knows why.
… with zero-knowledge on football. Before and during the 2018 FIFA World Cup™ all your colleagues, friends or even family member talk about football? Who is going to win? What a surprise that team blabla lost, what do you think? Again such a close match! You do not see any way to avoid it? Impress them using the following flow chart. There are reasonable chances that your forecasts outperform the subjective and pretentious estimates of your colleagues.
The above flowchart is based on the results obtained in What are typical football results? and What are typical football results II?. Using these data you can easily cook up more sophisticated models. For more details on this series of posts see Who wins the 2018 FIFA World Cup™?.